Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 1864.061307 2036.607064 2213.172758 2407.086896 2613.790427 2827.259229 3064.098156
2024-10-20 1581.054413 1833.419351 2103.162418 2411.839472 2754.176217 3121.100041 3542.978559
2024-10-27 1345.312433 1634.568864 1954.341519 2331.828642 2762.947914 3237.660763 3797.520510
2024-11-03 1257.913272 1585.861745 1958.108662 2408.193141 2933.784264 3524.290102 4233.868740
2024-11-10 1172.207674 1528.056044 1941.663081 2452.474522 3060.685510 3755.995640 4604.975658
2024-11-17 1076.324846 1448.818797 1891.660161 2449.588091 3125.999723 3911.726898 4885.169444
2024-11-24 981.187968 1362.631468 1826.105299 2421.232301 3155.127302 4020.433296 5106.999494
2024-12-01 922.963728 1317.967976 1807.275984 2446.122374 3245.641052 4200.474674 5413.303504
2024-12-08 859.953304 1262.493035 1770.742944 2445.211984 3301.465914 4336.722109 5666.186492
2024-12-15 824.163316 1239.999250 1773.926228 2492.590729 3416.286075 4544.930047 6007.907932
2024-12-22 765.421705 1182.884451 1728.754899 2474.782051 3446.349499 4646.820824 6218.251630
2024-12-29 740.709337 1170.519531 1741.076504 2530.656829 3570.021513 4865.915954 6575.699496
2025-01-05 698.033100 1131.486547 1716.797448 2538.256274 3632.579694 5010.721066 6844.907416
2025-01-12 657.534813 1093.256821 1691.697432 2543.271534 3691.019079 5150.536248 7109.393238
2025-01-19 590.659122 1012.677996 1604.221296 2459.920633 3629.186268 5133.050374 7171.227191
2025-01-26 581.649607 1017.129031 1635.542067 2539.474165 3785.375444 5399.229309 7599.802792
2025-02-02 562.886594 1005.609283 1643.194819 2585.593840 3896.518470 5607.416061 7955.303781
2025-02-09 530.773727 971.697209 1616.893077 2582.587821 3939.821268 5726.049182 8194.780446
2025-02-16 493.415614 927.379246 1573.308119 2553.055453 3945.048941 5793.151355 8366.366810
2025-02-23 473.806124 910.178837 1568.893158 2578.978473 4026.781592 5962.654796 8674.185584
2025-03-02 448.388873 882.071594 1546.769186 2578.030344 4070.165569 6080.400777 8913.900121
2025-03-09 437.258650 876.904042 1559.060256 2627.368691 4184.729275 6295.393302 9285.293745
2025-03-16 410.235479 843.482375 1526.415556 2608.824477 4201.833657 6377.170552 9478.076955